Friday, August 15, 2008
Nothing Seems Likely to Save Labour from a Second Byelection Defeat in Scotland
Kettle suggests a late poll, and it could be as late as December, might interfere with or subvert his relaunch. He thinks an early date- 11th September is the earliest possible- would get the pain over quickly and leave him free to try his reshuffle and whatever else. It's significant that Kettle thinks there is no way Gordon can win the contest, whenever it is held. I'm sure he's right on this.
But if he can reduce the losing swing to below Glasgow East's he might be able to argue a recovery of sorts is not only possible but actually in progress. One has to say that such a strategy summons up words like 'drowning man', 'straws' and 'isn't it time you stood down in favour of someone who has a genuine chance of limiting the damage?'.
Given that, there's very little scope for the loss to do much political damage.
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