Wednesday, July 25, 2007

 

Is this Something More than a Mere Honeymoon?

I have to confess that as a Labour supporter a few months back I was apprehensive about Gordon's accession-all that well referenced stuff about his moodiness and Stalinist tendencies- and not at all sure that the departure of the devil we knew was going to be an unalloyed relief. Now, I'm happy to say, it seems I was wrong: good appointments and initiatives on governance; rowing back on super-casinos; making PMQs an occasion for serious announcements; all seem to have engendered the desired feeling of genuine change.

The ICM poll today shows Labour striding to a six point lead-the research was done before the by-election defeats- but much worse for Cameron is the detailed findings on the two main players. 21% of voters(including one in four Tory voters) say their opinion of Brown has improved over the last month with only 8% for whom it has fallen. By contrast 21% say their opinion of Cameron has declined since Brown became PM. Moreover 60% think the new PM is offering new policies and 63% a new style of government.

For the Tories 42% say they like the party but dislike the leader with a mere 3% saying the reverse. For Labour the figure for those liking the party and the leader is an impressive 75%. These poll results seem to indicate voters are pleased Blair has gone but that maybe Cameron has been too much like him in style and has suffered accordingly. The intriguing question which the next few months will answer is whether this bounce turned into a honeymoon will last for much longer. Blair's honeymoon, Cameron might reflect, went on to last several years-and that would suit Gordon very nicely.

Comments:
Yep, I agree interesting polls indeed.

I didn't expect Brown to do quite so well in his first few weeks and I think Cameron will have to use the summer recess to rethink a few things.
 
We'll have to be careful not to fall into the 'counting chickens before they're hatched' frame of mind that afflicted so many desperate commenters on Tory blogs during Cameron's heyday. They've now found that their warm eggs were, rather like DC himself, in reality half-baked....
 
Hughesey
Agree. I'm aware that I may be over-egging Gordon's surprisingly strong burst of popularity and am regularly throwing buckets of cold water over my hopes and expectations- we all remember 1992 when hopes were dashed-though this time it could be the Tories who will fail at the fourth hurdle.
 
Young Dave’s constituents are flooded out of their homes and he goes off to Africa.
Crises? What crises?
 
Dreadnought
How nice to hear from you again! I thought you'd given up on the blogosphere.
 
What a non-story, Dreadnought. I wonder which is really more important: poverty, corruption and conflict in Africa, or thousands of conservative Britons with higher insurance premiums and decoration bills?
 
SPL - I wonder if you would think the same if it was your house flooded out?
Typically vacuous.
 
Gsb9IQ The best blog you have!
 
NvbS56 Good job!
 
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sanrp6 write more, thanks.
 
Nice Article.
 
Hello all!
 
Hello all!
 
Thanks to author.
 
actually, that's brilliant. Thank you. I'm going to pass that on to a couple of people.
 
Nice Article.
 
Hello all!
 
Magnific!
 
Good job!
 
Good job!
 
actually, that's brilliant. Thank you. I'm going to pass that on to a couple of people.
 
actually, that's brilliant. Thank you. I'm going to pass that on to a couple of people.
 
What is a free gift ? Aren't all gifts free?
 
Beam me aboard, Scotty..... Sure. Will a 2x10 do?
 
A flashlight is a case for holding dead batteries.
 
What is a free gift ? Aren't all gifts free?
 
Thanks to author.
 
I don't suffer from insanity. I enjoy every minute of it.
 
Change is inevitable, except from a vending machine.
 
Oops. My brain just hit a bad sector.
 
What is a free gift ? Aren't all gifts free?
 
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