Wednesday, July 25, 2007
Is this Something More than a Mere Honeymoon?
The ICM poll today shows Labour striding to a six point lead-the research was done before the by-election defeats- but much worse for Cameron is the detailed findings on the two main players. 21% of voters(including one in four Tory voters) say their opinion of Brown has improved over the last month with only 8% for whom it has fallen. By contrast 21% say their opinion of Cameron has declined since Brown became PM. Moreover 60% think the new PM is offering new policies and 63% a new style of government.
For the Tories 42% say they like the party but dislike the leader with a mere 3% saying the reverse. For Labour the figure for those liking the party and the leader is an impressive 75%. These poll results seem to indicate voters are pleased Blair has gone but that maybe Cameron has been too much like him in style and has suffered accordingly. The intriguing question which the next few months will answer is whether this bounce turned into a honeymoon will last for much longer. Blair's honeymoon, Cameron might reflect, went on to last several years-and that would suit Gordon very nicely.
I didn't expect Brown to do quite so well in his first few weeks and I think Cameron will have to use the summer recess to rethink a few things.
Agree. I'm aware that I may be over-egging Gordon's surprisingly strong burst of popularity and am regularly throwing buckets of cold water over my hopes and expectations- we all remember 1992 when hopes were dashed-though this time it could be the Tories who will fail at the fourth hurdle.
Crises? What crises?
Links to this post: