Tuesday, December 05, 2006
English in Scotland Cannot Prevent Independence
Maybe it's the work of the sub-editor but the article seems to argue that all these folk of southern provenance will frustrate the ambitions of the narrow minded nationalists. If this is the thrust of the piece, I'm far from convinced:
i) An SNP First Minister would hold a referendum on independence one presumes. While 400K is a big chunk of 5 million people, it would not necessarily swing the decision either way.
ii) Referendums on devolution to date have entailed simple majorities- apart from the ones in the seventies which specified a 40% of voters requirement. The English contingent would not prevent a simple majority from being returned for independence.
iii) Who is to say people of English descent have not been converted to the idea of independence? I know a few English immigrants to Wales who have got weirdly entusiastic about Plaid Cymru and I'm sure there are more than a few in Scotland for whom English roots are irrelevant.
iv) The poll registered 52%, presumably including immigrants of all kinds.
Professor Devine has not convinced me the danger to the Union is any less than I thought before reading his article.
Well, yes, I'm sure it has to be the whole parliament, but as in the Commons, the PM is the key decision-maker. Personally, as a boder Celt, I'd not like to 'lose' Scotland and Wales from the Union.
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